CIMSS AI Rapid Intensification Index

Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index (Reference)

Fausto at 07/29/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 78 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/29/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 71 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/29/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 69 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/28/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 75 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/28/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 80 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/28/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 70 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/28/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 72 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	1.5%	2.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.2%	2.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	4.6%	8.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/27/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 56 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.1%	3.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.6%	2.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	6.2%	9.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/27/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 59 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.3%	3.4%	2.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.8%	2.6%	2.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	6.9%	10.0%	8.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/27/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 56 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.0%	4.7%	4.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.3%	3.5%	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	8.7%	13.7%	11.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/27/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 66 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.5%	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.3%	5.2%	4.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	4.0%	3.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	9.2%	15.3%	12.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.7%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.6%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/26/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 70 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.6%	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.6%	4.2%	3.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.1%	3.3%	2.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	7.5%	12.5%	10.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/26/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 63 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.0%	3.3%	2.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.4%	2.5%	2.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	5.8%	9.9%	8.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/26/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 65 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.6%	4.0%	3.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.0%	3.0%	2.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	7.7%	11.6%	9.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/26/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 58 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.1%	4.7%	3.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	3.5%	2.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	8.9%	13.5%	10.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/25/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 58 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	4.0%	3.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.1%	3.0%	2.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	8.2%	12.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/25/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 64 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.9%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.2%	3.6%	2.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.8%	2.7%	2.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	6.4%	10.8%	8.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/25/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 84 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.1%	3.2%	2.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	1.6%	2.4%	1.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	6.1%	9.3%	7.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/25/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 78 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.9%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	4.1%	3.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.3%	3.1%	2.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	8.2%	12.0%	9.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/24/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 72 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.7%	4.4%	3.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.1%	3.3%	2.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	10.9%	12.8%	10.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.2%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/24/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 90 kts, MPI = 84 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.9%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.9%	4.7%	3.8%	3.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.1%	3.5%	2.9%	2.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	11.0%	13.6%	11.3%	10.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.9%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.6%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/24/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 77 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	4.1%	5.8%	4.6%	3.9%	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.0%	4.3%	3.4%	2.9%	2.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	11.2%	16.0%	13.1%	11.6%	8.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	1.2%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/24/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 80 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	5.7%	7.3%	5.5%	4.6%	3.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	4.5%	5.5%	4.1%	3.4%	2.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	12.8%	17.8%	14.8%	12.9%	10.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	2.1%	1.6%	0.6%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	4.2%	4.0%	1.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	3.0%	3.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/23/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 78 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	SHIPS Consensus	4.0%	6.2%	4.7%	4.0%	3.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.1%	4.7%	3.5%	3.0%	2.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	11.3%	17.1%	13.8%	11.9%	9.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.2%	1.1%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.6%	1.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/23/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 78 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%	SHIPS Consensus	3.9%	6.4%	4.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.6%	5.0%	3.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	11.0%	17.4%	14.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.6%	1.9%	1.1%	1.0%	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	0.6%	1.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	1.0%	3.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/23/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 87 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	6.4%	2.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%	SHIPS Consensus	5.3%	8.8%	5.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	5.5%	7.1%	4.7%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	12.6%	20.0%	16.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.7%	2.5%	1.7%	1.2%	0.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	3.3%	6.5%	1.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	3.0%	3.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/22/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 115 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.2%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	SHIPS Consensus	4.0%	7.6%	5.2%	4.2%	3.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.5%	6.1%	4.1%	3.2%	2.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	11.1%	18.8%	14.9%	12.2%	9.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	2.1%	2.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	1.0%	4.0%	0.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	4.0%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/22/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 129 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.9%	2.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.2%	SHIPS Consensus	4.9%	9.5%	6.2%	5.0%	3.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.9%	7.6%	4.7%	3.8%	2.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	12.7%	21.0%	17.0%	13.9%	11.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	4.4%	4.6%	2.7%	2.1%	1.5%	1.3%	0.1%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	2.1%	7.4%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	8.0%	7.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%	2.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/22/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 129 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	6.5%	6.2%	3.1%	1.9%	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	SHIPS Consensus	10.8%	14.3%	7.8%	6.3%	5.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	9.7%	12.2%	6.6%	5.1%	4.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	24.1%	27.6%	20.1%	16.3%	13.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	25.2%	14.6%	12.0%	8.9%	6.1%	2.0%	0.2%	0.0%	Logistic Regression	6.4%	14.5%	3.1%	2.4%	2.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.0%
									Bayesian	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	44.0%	23.0%	21.0%	16.0%	11.0%	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/22/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 118 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	4.2%	9.5%	3.8%	1.0%	1.1%	1.8%	0.9%	0.2%	SHIPS Consensus	11.0%	16.6%	8.4%	6.4%	5.2%	6.7%	0.2%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	9.2%	14.8%	7.2%	5.0%	4.2%	5.5%	0.3%	0.0%	SHIPS-RII	25.4%	36.8%	22.3%	17.2%	14.0%	19.5%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	22.1%	18.2%	11.9%	8.0%	5.5%	3.9%	0.9%	0.1%	Logistic Regression	5.3%	12.2%	2.7%	1.9%	1.6%	0.7%	0.5%	0.0%
									Bayesian	2.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	40.0%	27.0%	20.0%	15.0%	10.0%	6.0%	1.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/21/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 117 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.5%	0.6%	1.1%	SHIPS Consensus	3.7%	6.3%	5.3%	4.6%	3.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.8%	4.8%	4.0%	3.5%	2.8%	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	SHIPS-RII	10.7%	17.9%	15.8%	13.8%	11.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.6%	4.3%	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	Logistic Regression	0.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	2.0%	13.0%	8.0%	8.0%	6.0%	8.0%	3.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/21/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 109 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.8%	5.5%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	1.7%	2.0%	1.1%	SHIPS Consensus	4.4%	8.4%	6.4%	5.4%	4.3%	5.8%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.5%	7.6%	5.1%	4.3%	3.4%	4.8%	0.5%	0.2%	SHIPS-RII	12.2%	21.2%	18.2%	15.6%	12.8%	17.3%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	1.9%	12.2%	6.1%	4.5%	3.3%	3.8%	2.0%	0.5%	Logistic Regression	0.8%	3.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
									Bayesian	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	3.0%	19.0%	11.0%	8.0%	6.0%	6.0%	2.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/21/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 128 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	SHIPS Consensus	8.2%	16.2%	9.0%	7.0%	5.2%	7.0%	5.1%	2.6%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	SHIPS-RII	20.0%	31.2%	21.1%	17.4%	14.1%	19.7%	14.5%	7.6%
AI-RI and DTOPS	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Logistic Regression	2.9%	14.3%	3.5%	2.7%	1.2%	1.3%	0.7%	0.1%
									Bayesian	1.6%	3.0%	2.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	12.0%	19.0%	13.0%	10.0%	9.0%	8.0%	2.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/21/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 144 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	SHIPS Consensus	27.1%	47.3%	31.1%	22.6%	12.6%	13.5%	6.8%	3.4%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	SHIPS-RII	43.2%	58.3%	42.8%	31.6%	20.8%	25.1%	17.7%	10.0%
AI-RI and DTOPS	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Logistic Regression	17.9%	52.2%	19.2%	18.0%	8.2%	12.1%	2.6%	0.3%
									Bayesian	20.2%	31.5%	31.3%	18.0%	8.7%	3.5%	0.0%	0.0%
									DTOPS	47.0%	42.0%	30.0%	27.0%	25.0%	21.0%	5.0%	0.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/20/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 148 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	11.9%	46.1%	28.1%	16.5%	8.5%	27.2%	14.4%	3.4%	SHIPS Consensus	15.2%	42.6%	27.6%	17.3%	9.1%	16.9%	9.1%	4.5%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	14.4%	43.5%	27.7%	17.1%	8.9%	19.4%	10.4%	4.2%	SHIPS-RII	26.8%	65.5%	45.3%	32.8%	20.0%	37.5%	23.8%	13.2%
AI-RI and DTOPS	24.9%	42.5%	23.0%	15.2%	9.7%	26.1%	17.2%	4.7%	Logistic Regression	8.8%	39.3%	13.2%	10.6%	3.3%	9.3%	3.2%	0.4%
									Bayesian	10.1%	23.1%	24.4%	8.6%	4.0%	3.9%	0.2%	0.0%
									DTOPS	45.0%	53.0%	33.0%	29.0%	25.0%	41.0%	30.0%	3.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/20/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 155 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	7.2%	32.4%	19.2%	4.3%	4.0%	22.3%	19.9%	11.3%	SHIPS Consensus	10.0%	39.4%	27.5%	16.5%	7.7%	19.1%	12.1%	5.1%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	9.3%	37.6%	25.4%	13.4%	6.7%	19.9%	14.0%	6.6%	SHIPS-RII	14.6%	48.7%	37.2%	26.7%	17.5%	35.5%	27.7%	14.3%
AI-RI and DTOPS	24.6%	44.2%	30.1%	19.6%	16.0%	24.1%	16.9%	6.6%	Logistic Regression	5.9%	38.6%	14.0%	10.1%	2.8%	10.8%	6.6%	0.8%
									Bayesian	9.5%	30.8%	31.2%	12.6%	2.8%	11.1%	1.9%	0.1%
									DTOPS	42.0%	56.0%	41.0%	35.0%	28.0%	26.0%	14.0%	2.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/20/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 155 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	4.0%	30.1%	6.1%	3.8%	4.7%	17.3%	4.9%	23.9%	SHIPS Consensus	7.9%	20.1%	15.7%	9.1%	5.4%	10.4%	9.6%	5.0%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	6.9%	22.5%	13.2%	7.7%	5.2%	12.1%	8.4%	9.7%	SHIPS-RII	13.3%	28.7%	25.8%	20.7%	15.0%	24.9%	23.0%	13.8%
AI-RI and DTOPS	15.5%	46.5%	26.0%	21.4%	15.8%	28.1%	18.4%	13.4%	Logistic Regression	1.7%	13.9%	4.0%	2.4%	0.4%	4.3%	5.3%	1.0%
									Bayesian	8.6%	17.6%	17.2%	4.1%	0.7%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
									DTOPS	27.0%	63.0%	46.0%	39.0%	27.0%	39.0%	32.0%	3.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/20/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 156 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	SHIPS Consensus	12.6%	50.4%	37.8%	23.7%	12.8%	36.7%	30.4%	8.5%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	SHIPS-RII	22.9%	64.5%	50.1%	38.4%	27.1%	50.1%	61.6%	20.8%
AI-RI and DTOPS	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Logistic Regression	8.6%	48.8%	21.1%	16.5%	6.6%	25.2%	17.6%	3.7%
									Bayesian	6.3%	37.9%	42.4%	16.2%	4.8%	34.7%	12.0%	0.9%
									DTOPS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fausto at 07/19/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 155 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	5.8%	31.2%	12.5%	7.1%	3.5%	14.7%	14.8%	26.4%	SHIPS Consensus	7.9%	42.5%	32.3%	17.3%	8.6%	28.1%	33.1%	17.4%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	7.4%	39.7%	27.4%	14.7%	7.3%	24.7%	28.5%	19.6%	SHIPS-RII	12.9%	56.0%	42.4%	28.9%	21.2%	42.5%	60.5%	39.1%
AI-RI and DTOPS	6.9%	35.6%	19.2%	7.5%	3.7%	28.8%	39.4%	32.7%	Logistic Regression	3.4%	34.5%	13.0%	7.8%	3.2%	19.2%	20.4%	4.7%
									Bayesian	7.6%	37.0%	41.6%	15.2%	1.4%	22.6%	18.4%	8.3%
									DTOPS	4.0%	38.0%	24.0%	8.0%	3.0%	47.0%	69.0%	53.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Six at 07/19/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 150 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	3.4%	20.6%	13.9%	4.9%	3.9%	13.1%	7.2%	33.9%	SHIPS Consensus	3.7%	17.8%	10.4%	6.7%	0.6%	13.4%	19.4%	17.8%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	3.6%	18.5%	11.3%	6.2%	1.4%	13.3%	16.3%	21.7%	SHIPS-RII	8.9%	23.3%	19.6%	16.1%	0.0%	25.8%	35.5%	44.4%
AI-RI and DTOPS	2.7%	25.8%	12.4%	3.4%	2.4%	12.5%	16.6%	28.9%	Logistic Regression	1.5%	20.8%	6.3%	3.0%	1.5%	11.1%	16.7%	5.0%
									Bayesian	0.7%	9.3%	5.4%	1.1%	0.2%	3.3%	5.9%	3.9%
									DTOPS	2.0%	31.0%	11.0%	2.0%	1.0%	12.0%	26.0%	24.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Six at 07/19/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 153 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.6%	11.8%	10.4%	5.2%	1.4%	5.5%	13.1%	33.0%	SHIPS Consensus	3.7%	14.6%	8.1%	5.5%	0.1%	10.8%	23.8%	23.7%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	2.9%	13.8%	8.6%	5.4%	0.4%	9.4%	21.0%	26.0%	SHIPS-RII	10.0%	22.2%	18.4%	14.8%	0.0%	26.0%	49.0%	54.5%
AI-RI and DTOPS	0.8%	12.9%	7.7%	3.1%	1.2%	6.2%	20.0%	37.5%	Logistic Regression	0.6%	8.5%	2.1%	1.0%	0.2%	5.3%	21.2%	7.7%
									Bayesian	0.4%	13.0%	3.8%	0.8%	0.2%	1.1%	1.0%	8.8%
									DTOPS	1.0%	14.0%	5.0%	1.0%	1.0%	7.0%	27.0%	42.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Six at 07/19/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 155 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities									SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	4.4%	17.4%	5.8%	2.7%	2.8%	10.9%	21.6%	40.5%	SHIPS Consensus	4.7%	27.4%	11.4%	7.4%	1.2%	22.6%	48.3%	37.4%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus	4.6%	24.9%	10.0%	6.2%	1.5%	19.7%	41.6%	38.1%	SHIPS-RII	10.3%	23.4%	18.6%	14.8%	0.0%	23.9%	59.1%	51.5%
AI-RI and DTOPS	3.2%	22.7%	7.9%	1.8%	1.9%	8.9%	20.8%	41.2%	Logistic Regression	3.4%	36.0%	10.1%	5.9%	3.1%	20.0%	45.8%	20.3%
									Bayesian	0.5%	22.9%	5.5%	1.5%	0.4%	24.0%	40.1%	40.4%
									DTOPS	2.0%	28.0%	10.0%	1.0%	1.0%	7.0%	20.0%	42.0%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------									-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------