Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index   (Reference)

 

current Twentyfour intensity image current Twentyfour RI diff image

 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Twenty-Four at 03/09/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Twenty-Four at 03/09/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twenty-Four at 03/09/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.7% 2.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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Twenty-Four at 03/08/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.4% 2.9% 5.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 5.2% 0.9% 0.3% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 1.1% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twenty-Four at 03/08/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.7% 8.8% 5.0% 0.6% 0.4% 1.6% 0.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Twenty-Four at 03/08/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


 


 


Twenty-Four at 03/07/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.3% 6.5% 10.0% 3.2% 1.3% 1.4% 0.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3% RIPA Consensus 0.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.6% 3.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twenty-Four at 03/07/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.6% 14.7% 14.4% 11.6% 9.5% 6.4% 3.2% 10.9% 7.1% 1.3% RIPA Consensus 0.6% 6.6% 2.3% 2.1% 1.6% 4.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.9% 9.2% 6.3% 5.2% 4.2% 5.3% 2.0% 3.9% 2.5% 0.5% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 1.0% 12.0% 4.4% 4.0% 3.3% 9.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twenty-Four at 03/07/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.0% 15.3% 11.1% 2.1% 2.8% 5.5% 1.5% 11.3% 4.9% 0.8% RIPA Consensus 0.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.4% 6.4% 4.1% 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 0.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/07/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 1.1% RIPA Consensus 0.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 0.8% 5.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/06/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.5% 7.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.6% 3.6% 1.4% 5.5% 2.1% 1.3% RIPA Consensus 0.6% 4.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.0% 5.1% 1.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.9% 5.3% 2.6% 1.8% 1.5% 4.6% 1.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Logistic Regression 1.2% 7.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 9.8% 2.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/06/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.2% 15.0% 9.4% 1.3% 0.6% 4.8% 3.6% 13.5% 5.8% 9.4% RIPA Consensus 0.9% 6.6% 2.4% 1.8% 1.6% 6.3% 2.1% 5.5% 2.3% 3.4%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.9% 9.4% 4.7% 1.6% 1.3% 5.8% 2.6% 8.2% 3.4% 5.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 1.2% 0.6% 8.6% 2.5% 2.5%
Logistic Regression 1.4% 11.2% 4.1% 3.4% 3.3% 11.4% 3.6% 2.5% 2.1% 4.3%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


 


 


 


 


Twentyfour at 03/06/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.9% 11.0% 14.1% 2.7% 3.3% 7.7% 6.3% 17.9% 10.6% 13.2% RIPA Consensus 1.4% 11.7% 4.6% 3.6% 3.5% 12.4% 4.7% 9.1% 5.3% 7.6%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 1.2% 11.5% 7.7% 3.3% 3.4% 10.8% 5.2% 12.0% 7.0% 9.4% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.5% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 3.3% 1.6% 13.6% 4.7% 5.2%
Logistic Regression 2.3% 19.4% 7.7% 6.9% 6.9% 21.5% 7.8% 4.7% 5.9% 9.9%
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Twentyfour at 03/06/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.7% 4.4% 3.4% 0.9% 2.0% 3.7% 2.9% 8.7% 7.2% 15.1% RIPA Consensus 0.4% 6.7% 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% 6.3% 1.7% 5.5% 2.1% 7.8%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.4% 5.9% 2.6% 1.4% 1.7% 5.4% 2.1% 6.5% 3.8% 10.2% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 1.6% 0.5% 7.2% 1.8% 8.0%
Logistic Regression 0.7% 11.8% 3.9% 3.2% 3.2% 11.1% 2.9% 3.8% 2.4% 7.6%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/05/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.5% 3.6% 2.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 3.6% 1.5% 1.7% RIPA Consensus 0.6% 11.9% 4.4% 3.5% 3.3% 12.1% 4.1% 12.3% 5.8% 10.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.5% 9.1% 3.6% 2.7% 2.5% 8.6% 3.1% 9.4% 4.3% 7.8% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 4.1% 1.8% 16.2% 5.9% 9.9%
Logistic Regression 1.1% 19.7% 7.4% 6.7% 6.7% 20.2% 6.5% 8.4% 5.7% 11.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/05/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.4% 10.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7% 2.4% 0.9% 4.7% 2.0% 2.9% RIPA Consensus 0.9% 13.2% 5.1% 4.2% 3.8% 13.5% 4.7% 12.1% 5.4% 7.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 1.0% 12.1% 4.6% 3.3% 2.7% 9.7% 3.4% 9.6% 4.3% 6.2% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.5% 6.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 6.2% 2.6% 14.6% 5.2% 5.7%
Logistic Regression 1.3% 20.1% 7.6% 7.3% 7.3% 20.7% 6.8% 9.5% 5.7% 10.1%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/05/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.3% 1.9% 0.3% 11.2% 1.7% 8.4% RIPA Consensus 1.1% 13.5% 5.2% 4.1% 3.8% 17.1% 6.4% 15.8% 7.5% 12.4%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 1.0% 10.3% 4.4% 3.2% 2.6% 12.0% 4.3% 14.2% 5.5% 11.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.6% 6.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 7.9% 3.4% 19.6% 7.5% 10.5%
Logistic Regression 1.7% 20.6% 7.9% 7.3% 7.3% 26.2% 9.4% 12.1% 7.5% 14.2%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/05/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 1.3% 0.2% 1.8% RIPA Consensus 0.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 5.5% 1.2% 7.3% 2.3% 5.2%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 3.8% 0.8% 5.2% 1.6% 4.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 2.7% 0.8% 9.4% 2.7% 5.7%
Logistic Regression 0.5% 7.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 8.2% 1.7% 5.1% 1.9% 4.7%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/04/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.4% 3.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 3.4% 0.3% 5.0% RIPA Consensus 0.8% 8.4% 3.1% 2.4% 2.4% 10.6% 3.2% 14.2% 5.4% 9.4%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.7% 6.7% 2.4% 1.9% 1.6% 7.3% 2.2% 10.6% 3.6% 7.9% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 7.6% 3.0% 18.4% 6.7% 10.9%
Logistic Regression 1.0% 12.6% 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 13.5% 3.4% 10.0% 4.1% 7.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/04/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.4% 5.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 7.0% 1.3% 7.6% RIPA Consensus 0.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 3.2% 0.7% 4.2% 1.2% 7.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.6% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 2.6% 0.9% 5.1% 1.2% 7.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 1.6% 0.5% 4.7% 1.0% 7.8%
Logistic Regression 0.4% 4.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 4.7% 0.9% 3.8% 1.4% 7.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/04/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.7% 7.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.6% 2.3% 1.3% 12.0% 3.1% 11.1% RIPA Consensus 0.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 3.8% 0.8% 6.5% 2.0% 14.6%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 3.2% 1.0% 8.3% 2.3% 13.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 2.1% 0.6% 8.7% 2.1% 16.2%
Logistic Regression 0.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 5.4% 1.1% 4.3% 1.9% 12.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


Twentyfour at 03/04/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts    

 

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72
AI-RI 0.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 9.2% RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Linear Discriminant Analysis N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Logistic Regression N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------