Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison Tropical Cyclones AI Rapid Intensification Index   (Reference)     Twenty-Six at 03/11/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 20 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 2.8% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 2.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 2.4% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 2.0% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 2.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------       Twentysix at 03/11/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.4% 1.8% 0.1% 5.8% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 2.2% 0.5% 3.0% 1.2% 3.8% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 0.5% 2.5% 0.8% 4.5% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 4.6% 1.3% 3.3% Logistic Regression 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 4.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 4.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/11/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 0.0% 5.3% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.9% 0.5% 2.6% 1.0% 3.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 1.5% 0.3% 1.9% 0.6% 4.0% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 4.1% 1.1% 2.8% Logistic Regression 0.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 3.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 4.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/11/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.1% 1.2% 0.0% 4.4% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.8% 0.5% 2.2% 0.9% 3.1% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 0.3% 1.8% 0.6% 3.5% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 3.5% 0.9% 2.3% Logistic Regression 0.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 3.9% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/10/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 0.0% 1.9% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.4% 0.3% 1.6% 0.7% 3.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.2% 1.3% 0.4% 2.8% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 2.6% 0.6% 3.0% Logistic Regression 0.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 3.7% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/10/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 1.3% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 1.7% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 1.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.2% 1.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 2.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/10/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 2.6% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.6% 0.4% 3.0% 1.1% 1.9% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.2% 2.3% 0.6% 2.1% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 4.6% 1.4% 1.4% Logistic Regression 0.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 3.0% 0.7% 1.4% 0.7% 2.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/10/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 1.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/09/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.7% RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/09/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.3% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/09/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1% 0.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/09/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.4% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/08/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.6% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/08/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 1.7% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/08/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 2.0% 0.0% 1.0% RIPA Consensus 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.4% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------       Twentysix at 03/08/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A RIPA Consensus 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/07/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.8% RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% -0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 2.0% 0.5% -0.0% 0.2% 0.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/07/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.4% RIPA Consensus 0.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/07/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 7.5% 0.1% 1.6% RIPA Consensus 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 1.1% 0.2% 2.5% 0.1% 0.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 2.6% 0.6% -0.0% 0.3% 0.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/07/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 1.2% RIPA Consensus 0.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.6% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/06/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1.6% 0.1% 1.7% RIPA Consensus 0.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.8% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.8% 4.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   Twentysix at 03/06/26 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.9% 0.0% 1.0% RIPA Consensus 0.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.7% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------           Twentysix at 03/06/26 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.7% RIPA Consensus 0.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% AI-RI in RIPA Consensus 0.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 1.4% Linear Discriminant Analysis 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% Logistic Regression 0.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 3.5% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 1.6% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------                               Twentysix at 03/06/26 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 9999 kts       AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/36 55/48 70/48 65/72 AI-RI 0.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.0% 1.5% RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A AI-RI in RIPA Consensus N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Linear Discriminant Analysis N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Logistic Regression N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------