CIMSS AI Rapid Intensification Index

Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index

Seven at 08/17/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 0 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seven at 08/17/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 0 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/17/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 0 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/17/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 0 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	1.1%	0.0%	3.1%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%	1.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/16/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 23 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	1.3%	0.0%	3.8%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	1.2%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/16/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 56 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/16/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 40 kts, MPI = 99 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%	2.8%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.9%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/16/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 105 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	RIPA Consensus	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.3%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/15/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 91 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.1%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/15/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 95 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/15/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 97 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	0.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	0.2%	1.1%	0.5%	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/14/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 94 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	4.6%	6.4%	4.9%	4.6%	3.2%	2.8%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	3.1%	4.5%	3.4%	3.3%	2.2%	1.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	6.4%	5.0%	5.0%	4.3%	1.6%	4.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	2.7%	7.8%	4.9%	4.9%	4.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/14/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 89 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	7.7%	11.0%	9.1%	9.1%	5.7%	7.9%	0.3%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	5.9%	7.5%	6.2%	6.2%	3.9%	5.3%	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	10.7%	9.8%	9.8%	9.8%	2.9%	13.3%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	4.8%	12.2%	8.5%	8.5%	8.5%	2.5%	0.6%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/14/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 89 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.0%	2.4%	6.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	15.9%	31.4%	29.8%	29.8%	18.3%	16.7%	2.2%	2.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	11.2%	21.7%	21.9%	20.2%	12.2%	11.2%	1.4%	1.3%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	18.1%	29.3%	29.3%	29.3%	6.5%	22.5%	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	13.6%	33.4%	30.3%	30.3%	30.1%	11.0%	4.3%	3.4%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/14/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 93 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	3.3%	2.1%	1.5%	0.3%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	26.1%	47.2%	47.2%	47.2%	29.8%	31.2%	6.8%	6.5%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	18.4%	32.1%	31.9%	31.5%	20.2%	20.9%	4.6%	4.3%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	33.3%	46.7%	46.7%	46.7%	13.6%	36.7%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	18.8%	47.7%	47.7%	47.7%	45.9%	25.8%	13.7%	9.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/13/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 94 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	3.7%	3.1%	2.3%	1.8%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	RIPA Consensus	32.4%	49.9%	49.9%	49.9%	31.4%	31.6%	8.2%	12.3%	3.1%	1.7%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	22.8%	34.3%	34.0%	33.8%	21.3%	21.3%	5.6%	8.2%	2.1%	1.1%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	40.2%	49.4%	49.4%	49.4%	14.2%	33.5%	0.0%	7.3%	1.5%	0.9%
											Logistic Regression	24.7%	50.4%	50.4%	50.4%	48.7%	29.8%	16.5%	17.2%	4.7%	2.5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/13/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 95 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	4.0%	8.2%	8.0%	1.4%	0.8%	2.0%	0.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.2%	RIPA Consensus	13.3%	29.3%	28.1%	28.1%	18.3%	14.8%	3.7%	8.6%	1.3%	1.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	10.2%	22.2%	21.3%	19.1%	12.4%	10.5%	2.7%	6.0%	0.9%	0.7%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	12.3%	21.5%	21.5%	21.5%	3.5%	12.6%	0.0%	4.3%	0.3%	0.6%
											Logistic Regression	14.3%	37.1%	34.6%	34.6%	33.1%	17.1%	7.5%	12.9%	2.3%	1.4%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/13/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 91 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	3.5%	9.3%	4.7%	2.0%	0.7%	2.7%	1.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.4%	RIPA Consensus	21.0%	42.4%	41.5%	41.5%	26.4%	20.4%	5.9%	13.1%	3.1%	4.3%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	15.1%	31.3%	29.2%	28.3%	17.8%	14.5%	4.2%	9.1%	2.2%	3.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	19.7%	35.9%	35.9%	35.9%	7.1%	16.8%	0.0%	6.4%	1.6%	4.2%
											Logistic Regression	22.3%	48.9%	47.1%	47.1%	45.7%	24.1%	11.7%	19.7%	4.7%	4.5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/13/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 94 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.2%	3.9%	4.4%	1.0%	0.9%	3.4%	0.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.9%	RIPA Consensus	19.2%	38.3%	36.6%	36.6%	25.4%	21.5%	5.2%	14.9%	3.5%	4.7%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	13.5%	26.8%	25.8%	24.7%	17.2%	15.5%	3.7%	10.3%	2.4%	3.4%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	21.2%	31.6%	31.6%	31.6%	9.9%	20.8%	0.0%	9.6%	1.9%	4.7%
											Logistic Regression	17.2%	45.0%	41.6%	41.6%	41.0%	22.3%	10.3%	20.3%	5.0%	4.7%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/12/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 93 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	4.6%	4.5%	1.3%	1.5%	3.5%	2.1%	0.8%	2.7%	0.9%	0.8%	RIPA Consensus	12.1%	29.7%	27.2%	27.2%	20.0%	14.7%	3.8%	10.3%	2.0%	6.2%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	9.6%	21.2%	18.5%	18.6%	14.4%	10.5%	2.8%	7.7%	1.6%	4.3%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	10.6%	18.8%	18.0%	18.0%	4.6%	11.5%	0.0%	5.5%	0.8%	6.9%
											Logistic Regression	13.6%	40.5%	36.4%	36.4%	35.3%	17.9%	7.7%	15.0%	3.2%	5.5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/12/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 91 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.5%	1.5%	0.3%	0.7%	0.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.2%	RIPA Consensus	6.8%	12.8%	11.0%	10.7%	7.8%	7.7%	0.6%	2.8%	0.4%	2.4%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	5.0%	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	5.4%	5.4%	0.5%	2.1%	0.3%	1.6%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	7.7%	9.1%	9.1%	8.6%	2.9%	11.2%	0.0%	1.6%	0.3%	3.6%
											Logistic Regression	5.8%	16.4%	12.8%	12.8%	12.8%	4.1%	1.2%	4.1%	0.5%	1.2%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/12/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 94 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.7%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.3%	RIPA Consensus	3.4%	8.0%	6.5%	6.5%	4.5%	5.8%	0.5%	2.2%	0.0%	2.5%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	2.4%	5.5%	4.5%	4.3%	3.0%	4.1%	0.3%	1.6%	0.0%	1.7%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	3.0%	4.6%	4.6%	4.6%	0.6%	8.6%	0.0%	1.3%	0.0%	3.8%
											Logistic Regression	3.7%	11.3%	8.4%	8.4%	8.4%	3.1%	0.9%	3.2%	0.0%	1.1%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/12/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 85 kts, MPI = 98 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.2%	2.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.3%	RIPA Consensus	2.7%	8.9%	7.6%	7.4%	5.8%	5.2%	0.5%	2.9%	0.0%	3.2%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	2.1%	6.7%	5.3%	5.1%	4.0%	3.6%	0.3%	2.1%	0.0%	2.2%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	1.7%	4.0%	3.7%	3.3%	0.6%	7.1%	0.0%	1.8%	0.0%	5.2%
											Logistic Regression	3.7%	13.8%	11.5%	11.5%	11.1%	3.2%	1.0%	4.1%	0.0%	1.3%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/11/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 95 kts, MPI = 111 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.5%	2.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	RIPA Consensus	1.3%	2.6%	1.9%	1.7%	1.5%	4.4%	0.1%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	1.3%	2.4%	1.4%	1.1%	1.0%	2.9%	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	1.0%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	7.6%	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	1.5%	4.4%	3.0%	2.7%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/11/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 105 kts, MPI = 108 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.8%	2.3%	1.5%	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	1.6%	2.1%	1.5%	1.4%	1.1%	9.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	1.7%	2.1%	1.5%	1.0%	0.8%	6.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	1.7%	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%	0.2%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	1.6%	3.3%	2.2%	2.0%	2.0%	1.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/11/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 115 kts, MPI = 107 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	6.4%	4.2%	3.0%	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	22.6%	18.9%	17.1%	17.1%	10.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	17.2%	13.9%	12.4%	11.4%	6.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	32.6%	20.5%	20.5%	20.5%	6.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	12.6%	17.2%	13.8%	13.8%	13.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/11/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 115 kts, MPI = 115 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	25.4%	10.1%	7.5%	1.1%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	RIPA Consensus	35.9%	31.5%	30.8%	30.8%	20.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	32.4%	24.3%	23.0%	20.9%	14.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	49.8%	32.4%	32.4%	32.4%	13.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	22.0%	30.6%	29.2%	29.2%	27.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/10/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 100 kts, MPI = 122 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	29.0%	17.3%	12.0%	0.4%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.3%	RIPA Consensus	49.8%	49.4%	49.3%	49.3%	40.3%	55.5%	13.6%	8.9%	0.0%	0.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	42.8%	38.7%	36.8%	32.9%	28.0%	37.2%	9.1%	6.0%	0.0%	0.0%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	65.3%	50.1%	50.1%	50.1%	33.4%	72.2%	0.0%	8.9%	0.0%	0.0%
											Logistic Regression	34.2%	48.7%	48.4%	48.4%	47.2%	38.8%	27.2%	8.8%	0.0%	0.0%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/10/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 75 kts, MPI = 123 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	22.0%	11.6%	9.5%	2.1%	9.3%	3.0%	1.8%	2.8%	0.1%	2.6%	RIPA Consensus	53.8%	72.1%	72.1%	72.1%	57.6%	45.3%	17.4%	24.0%	6.4%	5.7%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	43.2%	51.9%	51.2%	48.7%	41.5%	31.2%	12.1%	16.9%	4.3%	4.6%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	59.8%	66.0%	66.0%	66.0%	38.5%	40.6%	0.0%	13.8%	3.0%	3.2%
											Logistic Regression	47.9%	78.2%	78.2%	78.2%	76.7%	50.0%	34.7%	34.1%	9.8%	8.1%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/10/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 70 kts, MPI = 123 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	24.6%	21.3%	17.8%	3.5%	14.0%	8.4%	6.1%	5.0%	0.6%	3.0%	RIPA Consensus	37.9%	60.2%	60.2%	60.2%	44.0%	39.3%	13.5%	23.6%	7.2%	9.7%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	33.5%	47.2%	46.0%	41.3%	34.0%	29.0%	11.0%	17.3%	4.9%	7.5%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	44.9%	55.6%	55.6%	55.6%	24.0%	35.6%	0.0%	15.1%	4.3%	7.6%
											Logistic Regression	31.0%	64.9%	64.8%	64.8%	64.0%	43.0%	27.1%	32.0%	10.0%	11.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/10/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 65 kts, MPI = 129 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	17.1%	28.2%	11.8%	10.3%	12.9%	23.6%	7.3%	8.3%	0.3%	6.4%	RIPA Consensus	32.5%	58.5%	56.0%	56.0%	44.5%	45.4%	17.6%	32.2%	12.5%	15.6%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	27.3%	48.3%	41.2%	40.7%	33.9%	38.1%	14.1%	24.2%	8.4%	12.5%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	36.4%	49.9%	47.3%	47.3%	25.2%	38.6%	0.0%	23.6%	8.1%	11.9%
											Logistic Regression	28.5%	67.0%	64.7%	64.7%	63.8%	52.1%	35.1%	40.8%	16.9%	19.2%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/09/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 60 kts, MPI = 136 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	21.3%	27.9%	11.1%	8.4%	11.0%	18.4%	12.5%	16.5%	1.5%	6.5%	RIPA Consensus	10.6%	35.6%	30.5%	30.5%	23.1%	24.6%	8.1%	20.5%	5.4%	9.7%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	14.1%	33.0%	24.0%	23.1%	19.0%	22.5%	9.5%	19.2%	4.0%	8.6%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	9.0%	23.0%	18.6%	18.6%	4.9%	18.4%	0.0%	14.3%	3.3%	8.2%
											Logistic Regression	12.1%	48.1%	42.4%	42.4%	41.3%	30.7%	16.1%	26.8%	7.4%	11.2%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/09/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 133 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	17.9%	29.9%	22.8%	22.2%	13.8%	32.9%	20.8%	16.0%	5.5%	10.8%	RIPA Consensus	7.4%	26.6%	20.3%	18.9%	15.8%	21.8%	6.3%	19.4%	6.1%	12.2%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	10.9%	27.7%	21.1%	20.0%	15.1%	25.5%	11.1%	18.2%	5.9%	11.6%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	6.1%	15.9%	12.8%	10.1%	3.8%	16.8%	0.0%	15.1%	5.1%	12.6%
											Logistic Regression	8.7%	37.4%	27.8%	27.8%	27.8%	26.8%	12.6%	23.6%	7.2%	11.7%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/09/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 134 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	35.2%	46.5%	36.0%	16.4%	23.8%	27.0%	29.1%	24.5%	14.1%	16.5%	RIPA Consensus	13.6%	38.7%	33.4%	33.4%	25.6%	37.2%	14.3%	29.9%	12.2%	16.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	20.8%	41.3%	34.2%	27.7%	25.0%	33.8%	19.2%	28.1%	12.7%	16.2%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	11.7%	24.8%	21.8%	21.8%	6.3%	28.2%	0.0%	23.4%	8.6%	13.1%
											Logistic Regression	15.5%	52.6%	45.0%	45.0%	44.9%	46.3%	28.7%	36.5%	15.7%	19.2%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/09/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 55 kts, MPI = 148 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	25.2%	47.9%	39.1%	16.8%	28.2%	31.1%	29.7%	33.0%	11.3%	22.3%	RIPA Consensus	16.3%	41.6%	36.9%	36.9%	27.6%	40.9%	14.9%	32.5%	16.1%	17.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	Linear Discriminant Analysis	16.5%	29.7%	28.5%	28.5%	10.0%	33.7%	0.0%	26.7%	12.5%	13.3%
											Logistic Regression	16.0%	53.6%	45.3%	45.3%	45.3%	48.1%	29.9%	38.3%	19.8%	22.4%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/08/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 50 kts, MPI = 145 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	26.4%	48.9%	31.8%	18.6%	22.4%	32.3%	30.3%	36.0%	23.9%	15.3%	RIPA Consensus	21.2%	50.4%	44.0%	44.0%	31.9%	51.0%	22.9%	39.4%	26.0%	24.6%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	22.9%	49.9%	39.9%	35.5%	28.7%	44.7%	25.3%	38.2%	25.3%	21.4%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	22.6%	39.6%	36.6%	36.6%	12.5%	38.8%	0.0%	31.8%	17.8%	15.7%
											Logistic Regression	19.7%	61.2%	51.4%	51.4%	51.4%	63.2%	45.8%	46.9%	34.2%	33.4%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/08/23 12 UTC. Intensity = 45 kts, MPI = 143 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	14.7%	36.9%	32.5%	12.7%	4.7%	24.5%	19.6%	28.8%	10.8%	17.6%	RIPA Consensus	14.7%	42.3%	35.2%	35.2%	25.4%	46.1%	22.4%	33.6%	22.2%	25.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	14.7%	40.5%	34.3%	27.7%	18.4%	38.9%	21.4%	32.0%	18.3%	23.1%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	15.0%	28.5%	27.0%	27.0%	7.3%	29.6%	0.0%	25.6%	11.2%	13.9%
											Logistic Regression	14.4%	56.1%	43.4%	43.4%	43.4%	62.7%	44.8%	41.6%	33.1%	37.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lan at 08/08/23 06 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 140 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	5.1%	25.4%	19.2%	6.2%	1.3%	16.2%	15.7%	20.3%	10.7%	18.0%	RIPA Consensus	4.0%	23.2%	14.2%	13.9%	10.1%	29.2%	12.6%	25.1%	14.2%	27.5%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	4.3%	23.8%	15.8%	11.2%	7.1%	24.9%	13.6%	23.5%	13.0%	24.3%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	2.6%	10.4%	8.0%	8.0%	0.5%	12.5%	0.0%	20.4%	7.6%	20.1%
											Logistic Regression	5.3%	35.9%	20.4%	19.7%	19.7%	46.0%	25.3%	29.8%	20.8%	34.8%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seven at 08/08/23 00 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 143 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	3.4%	20.2%	16.6%	3.8%	1.1%	17.5%	12.7%	15.9%	7.5%	15.2%	RIPA Consensus	1.9%	17.2%	8.5%	7.8%	6.0%	26.7%	12.1%	20.8%	14.3%	30.9%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	2.4%	18.2%	11.1%	6.5%	4.3%	23.6%	12.2%	19.1%	12.0%	25.7%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	1.0%	6.3%	3.6%	3.6%	0.0%	7.8%	0.0%	16.1%	6.5%	20.2%
											Logistic Regression	2.8%	28.1%	13.3%	12.1%	12.1%	45.7%	24.1%	25.4%	22.1%	41.7%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seven at 08/07/23 18 UTC. Intensity = 25 kts, MPI = 143 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	2.7%	24.4%	7.4%	2.6%	0.9%	16.6%	7.6%	20.1%	4.5%	17.2%	RIPA Consensus	2.0%	19.3%	9.5%	8.8%	6.8%	29.2%	13.8%	24.2%	16.9%	29.0%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	2.2%	21.0%	8.7%	6.7%	4.8%	25.0%	11.7%	22.8%	12.7%	25.1%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	1.0%	7.8%	3.9%	3.9%	0.0%	8.8%	0.0%	18.5%	7.2%	13.4%
											Logistic Regression	3.1%	30.9%	15.1%	13.7%	13.7%	49.7%	27.6%	29.9%	26.5%	44.7%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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