WTPS31 PGTW 240300 2006114 0242 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z --- NEAR 11.4S 135.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S 135.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 11.9S 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 12.5S 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 13.3S 130.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 14.1S 129.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 240300Z POSITION NEAR 11.5S 134.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 23P REMAINS AN INTENSE BUT COMPACT SYSTEM LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM EQUATORWARD OF MILINGIMBI. THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTH OF THE STORM WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. IN TURN, THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK, MAKING LANDFALL IN 12 HOURS AND REMAINING JUST INLAND THROUGH 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE IN THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 23P WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES AND INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z AND 250300Z.// wxtlist.k: done