TROPICAL STORM 10S 0:00UTC 19January2025 UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates Current Conditions (from JTWC) : Latitude : 19:38:52 S Longitude : 116:10:15 E Intensity (MSLP) : 991.0 hPa Max Pot Int (MPI,from Emanuel) : 890.0 hPa MPI differential (MSLP-MPI) : 101.0 hPa CIMSS Vertical Shear Magnitude : 4.6 m/s ( 8.8 kts) Direction : 74.5 deg Outlook for TC Intensification Based on Current Env. Shear Values and MPI Differential Forecast Interval : 6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr VF VF VF VF Legend : VF-Very Favorable F-Favorable N-Neutral U-Unfavorable VU-Very Unfavorable -- Mean Intensity Trend (negative indicates TC deepening) -- 6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr VF <-3.0mb/ 6hr <-6.0mb/12hr <-9.0mb/18hr <-12.0mb/24hr F -3.0 - -1.5 -6.0 - -3.0 -9.0 - -4.5 -12.0 - -6.0 N -1.5 - +1.5 -3.0 - +3.0 -4.5 - +4.5 -6.0 - +6.0 U +1.5 - +3.0 +3.0 - +6.0 +4.5 - +9.0 +6.0 -+12.0 VU >+3.0 >+6.0 >+9.0 >+12.0 - Current shear charts for the SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN can be found at : http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=austwest&sat=wgms&prod=shr&zoom=&time= - Additional information about this product can be found at : http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/misc/winds/info.winds.shr.html - Contact : Chris Velden (chrisv@ssec.wisc.edu) CIMSS Internal Code : Basin - southpac Storm - 10S