TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S    0:00UTC    12December2024
     UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates

         Current Conditions (from JTWC) :
                     Latitude                       :   10:23:59 S
                     Longitude                      :   55:36:37 E
                     Intensity (MSLP)               :  916.2 hPa

                     Max Pot Int (MPI,from Emanuel) :  893.1 hPa
                     MPI differential (MSLP-MPI)    :   23.1 hPa

                     CIMSS Vertical Shear Magnitude :    7.9 m/s (15.4 kts)
                                          Direction :  101.4 deg

         Outlook for TC Intensification Based on Current
           Env. Shear Values and MPI Differential
         Forecast Interval :    6hr   12hr   18hr   24hr
                                 N      N      N      N

         Legend :        VF-Very Favorable   F-Favorable   N-Neutral
                          U-Unfavorable     VU-Very Unfavorable

         --  Mean Intensity Trend (negative indicates TC deepening) --
                  6hr           12hr           18hr           24hr
         VF  <-3.0mb/ 6hr   <-6.0mb/12hr   <-9.0mb/18hr   <-12.0mb/24hr
          F   -3.0 - -1.5    -6.0 - -3.0    -9.0 - -4.5    -12.0 - -6.0
          N   -1.5 - +1.5    -3.0 - +3.0    -4.5 - +4.5     -6.0 - +6.0
          U   +1.5 - +3.0    +3.0 - +6.0    +4.5 - +9.0     +6.0 -+12.0
         VU      >+3.0          >+6.0          >+9.0          >+12.0

- Current shear charts for the INDIAN OCEAN BASIN can be found at :
   http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=shr&zoom=&time=
- Additional information about this product can be found at :
   http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/misc/winds/info.winds.shr.html
- Contact : Chris Velden (chrisv@ssec.wisc.edu)
   CIMSS Internal Code : Basin - indian  Storm - 04S