WXTLIST WMO=AXNT20 AXNT20 KNHC 221651 2025081 1651 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1815 UTC Sat Mar 22 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1600 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Caribbean Gale Warning: Fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of Colombia each night and early morning through early next week. Seas will build to near 15 ft with the strongest winds. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at the website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea Bissau near 12N16W to 01N21W. The ITCZ continues from 01N21W to 00N51W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring east of 15W. Scattered moderate convection is also noted from the equator-04N west of 20W. ...GULF OF AMERICA... A 1023 mb high is situated over the N Gulf this morning with winds gentle to moderate across the waters. Seas are 2-5 ft. Scattered showers are occurring over the W Gulf within 60 NM of the Mexican coast. For the forecast, the high pressure will prevail over the Gulf, supporting moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds over the western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern basin into early next week. A surface trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula and move into the Bay of Campeche nightly through Sun, supporting pulses of fresh to strong winds over adjacent waters. The next cold front may enter the northern basin late Mon, but will likely dissipate as it moves into the central and eastern Gulf through Tue. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A Gale Warning is in effect offshore Colombia. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for more information. A moderate pressure gradient between a surface ridge north of Greater Antilles and a 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong NE to E trades over the central Caribbean. Seas over these waters are 6-10 ft. Elsewhere, the trades are gentle to moderate with seas 3-5 ft. A surface trough extends from the central Atlantic to the Virgin Islands. Scattered showers are occurring over the Virgin Islanda, Puerto Rico, and between Jamaica and Honduras/Nicaragua. For the forecast, fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of Colombia each night and early morning through early next week. Fresh to occasionally strong NE winds will pulse in the Windward Passage into early next week. Fresh to strong SE winds will develop across the Gulf of Honduras from Sun night into the middle of next week. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from 31N57W to 25N68W, then becomes stationary to central Cuba. Scattered showers are occurring within 30 NM of the front. A surface trough extends over the central Atlantic from 25N50W to the Virgin Islands. Scattered showers are occurring within 60 NM of the trough axis. A 1035 mb high north of our area at 38N29W is helping to promote generally fresh to strong NE winds east of 40W with seas 8-10 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker across the Atlantic. Seas behind the cold front north of 26N are 8-10 ft in NW swell and seas are 8-9 ft south of 20N between 40W-60W in mixed wind waves and NW swell. Elsewhere seas are 4-7 ft. For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary portion of the front will dissipate while the cold front shifts east of 55W late today. Rough seas following the front will subside to moderate through Sun. High pressure will build in the wake of the front over the western Atlantic along 30N. This pattern will support gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas north of 22N into early next week. The area of high pressure will shift eastward Mon enabling a weak cold front to move off the northeast Florida coast Mon night. Fresh to strong winds may pulse off the northern coast of Hispaniola late Sun through mid week. Looking ahead, another front may move into waters between northeast Florida and Bermuda late Wed. $$ Landsea WXTLIST: done