|
Current Intensity Estimates
|
ADT
|
| Date |
Time |
Vmax |
MSLP |
| 06Jan2026 |
1120UTC |
102 kts |
959 hPa |
| Scene |
CI# |
FT# |
AdjT# |
RawT# |
Eye T |
Cloud T |
| EYE |
5.5 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
-40.93C |
-69.26C |
|
|
|
|
AiDT
|
| Date |
Time |
Vmax |
|
| 06Jan2026 |
1120UTC |
95 kts |
|
|
|
|
|
DPRINT
|
| Date |
Time |
Vmax |
MSLP |
| 06Jan2026 |
1120UTC |
87 kts |
960 hPa |
| Vmax 25% |
Vmax 75% |
|
|
| 80 kts |
94 kts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
DMINT
|
| Date |
Time |
Vmax |
MSLP |
| 06Jan2026 |
0940UTC |
93 kts |
958 hPa |
| Vmax 25% |
Vmax 75% |
MW Instr. |
|
| 86 kts |
100 kts |
SSMISF18 |
|
|
|
| Date |
Time |
Vmax |
MSLP |
| 06Jan2026 |
0752UTC |
87 kts |
962 hPa |
| Vmax 25% |
Vmax 75% |
MW Instr. |
|
| 80 kts |
95 kts |
GMI |
|
8.0% |
2.3% |
3.6% |
1.9% |
0.3% |
|
|
|
|
Position Estimates
|
ARCHER
|
| Date |
Time |
Latitude |
Longitude |
| 06Jan2026 |
0941UTC |
-16.42S |
94.43E |
| Satellite |
Sensor |
Eye Diameter |
Eye Cert % |
| SSMIS-18 |
85-92GHz |
0.80 deg |
66.9% |
|
|
|
|
TC Structure
|
MPERC
|
| Date |
Time |
Prob. ERC onset Full Model |
Prob. ERC onset V-based |
| 06Jan2026 |
0900UTC |
9% |
16% |
|
|
|
|
MIMIC-TPW
|
|
|
|
MIMIC-TC
|
|
|
|
Shear Analysis
|
| Date |
Time |
Shear Magnitude
|
Shear Direction
|
| 06Jan2026 |
600UTC |
12 kts |
8 deg |
| Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed |
|
|
|
|
TC-Scale AMVs
|
|
|
|