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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 08E (Hernan)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
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NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1840UTC 25 kts 1009 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 21.67C 16.85C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
15Aug2026 1840UTC 30 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1840UTC 28 kts 1004 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
26 kts 30 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1343UTC 26 kts 1006 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
24 kts 29 kts SSMISF18  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1051UTC 40 kts 1000 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-20 21  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1240UTC 37 kts 1002 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
15Aug2026 1800UTC 25 kts 126 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
15Aug2026 1750UTC 15.72N 135.36W
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GOES18 SWIR 1.00 deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model
Prob. ERC onset
V-based
15Aug2026 1300UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW  
MIMIC-TC  
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
Shear Direction
15Aug2026 1800UTC 21 kts 279 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs