CIMSS AI Rapid Intensification Index

Dolphin at 08/06/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 80 kts, MPI = 99 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	1.6%	10.7%	2.8%	1.3%	1.1%	1.5%	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.4%	RIPA Consensus	13.3%	28.3%	28.3%	28.3%	22.6%	17.7%	5.6%	8.0%	1.6%	3.1%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	9.4%	22.4%	19.8%	19.3%	15.4%	12.2%	3.8%	5.5%	1.0%	2.2%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	14.5%	19.7%	19.7%	19.7%	8.3%	24.2%	7.4%	5.9%	1.4%	2.6%
											Logistic Regression	12.1%	36.9%	36.9%	36.9%	36.9%	11.2%	3.8%	10.2%	1.7%	3.7%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thirteen at 08/06/26 18 UTC. Intensity = 30 kts, MPI = 126 kts

RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72	RI (kt / h)	20/12	25/24	30/24	35/24	40/24	45/36	55/36	55/48	70/48	65/72
AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities											RIPA Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AI-RI	0.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.2%	1.0%	0.4%	2.3%	0.6%	17.6%	RIPA Consensus	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.7%	0.3%	9.6%
AI-RI in RIPA Consensus	0.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	0.8%	0.2%	1.2%	0.3%	12.2%	Linear Discriminant Analysis	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%	11.7%
											Logistic Regression	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	0.2%	1.0%	0.5%	7.5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------											------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Last Updated: 20260806 at 2320 UTC

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