Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index

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Go to: East Pacific TCs

Atlantic TCs

Two at 06/29/22 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 126 kts    

 

Two History

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
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RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/48 65/72
AI-RI 1.3% 29.6% 9.1% 5.5% 2.4% 11.1% 23.0% 37.4% SHIPS Consensus 2.9% 14.3% 6.4% 4.6% 3.4% 8.2% 13.5% 32.5%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus 2.5% 18.1% 7.0% 4.8% 3.1% 8.9% 15.9% 33.7% SHIPS-RII 3.5% 13.8% 9.0% 7.5% 5.3% 9.9% 10.8% 15.5%
AI-RI and DTOPS 2.6% 18.3% 6.5% 4.2% 1.2% 5.5% 11.5% 19.2% Logistic Regression 4.1% 21.0% 9.3% 6.3% 4.7% 14.3% 26.2% 47.4%
Bayesian 1.2% 8.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 3.6% 34.7%
DTOPS 4.0% 7.0% 4.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0%
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current Two intensity image current Two intensity image
current Two microwave image

Eastern Pacific TCs

Last Updated: 20220629 at 0650 UTC

Past 2022 Atlantic TCs

Alex


Past 2022 E Pacific TCs

Agatha
Blas
Celia