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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 09W (Bavi)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Jul2026 2130UTC 132 kts 919 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
EYE 6.7 6.4 6.5 6.5 14.73C -72.00C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
06Jul2026 2130UTC 125 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Jul2026 2130UTC 140 kts 929 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
133 kts 146 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Jul2026 1552UTC 139 kts 935 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
134 kts 145 kts ATMS-N21  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Jul2026 1551UTC 142 kts 926 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-21 73  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Jul2026 1700UTC 139 kts 924 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
06Jul2026 1800UTC 135 kts 9999 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
10.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
06Jul2026 2036UTC 15.94N 140.55E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
SSMIS-17 89-92GHz 0.80 deg 100.0%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
06Jul2026 2000UTC 66% 48%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
06Jul2026 1800UTC 21 kts 88 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs