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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 11E (Karina)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
30Aug2026 2010UTC 99 kts 958 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
EYE 5.4 5.4 5.6 6.2 9.24C -67.61C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
30Aug2026 2010UTC 76 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
30Aug2026 1940UTC 91 kts 974 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
85 kts 98 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
30Aug2026 1810UTC 90 kts 969 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
84 kts 96 kts TMS06  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
30Aug2026 1643UTC 84 kts 970 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
78 kts 91 kts TMS09  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
30Aug2026 1407UTC 80 kts 977 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  17 25  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
30Aug2026 1510UTC 77 kts 975 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
30Aug2026 1800UTC 75 kts 144 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
1.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
30Aug2026 1750UTC 17.21N 122.53W
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GOES18 IR 0.10 deg 99.4%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
30Aug2026 1400UTC 8% 5%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
30Aug2026 1800UTC 7 kts 97 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs