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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 13E (Marie)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
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NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
02Sep2026 0040UTC 57 kts 991 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
IRRCDO 3.6 3.2 3.5 3.5 -74.76C -64.59C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
02Sep2026 0040UTC 47 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
02Sep2026 0040UTC 47 kts 1001 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
43 kts 53 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
01Sep2026 2047UTC 42 kts 1002 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
38 kts 45 kts ATMS-N21  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
01Sep2026 2043UTC 41 kts 1000 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
37 kts 46 kts AMSR2  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
01Sep2026 2002UTC 42 kts 1003 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
38 kts 45 kts ATMS-N20  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
01Sep2026 2045UTC 37 kts 995 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-21 68  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
N/A N/AUTC N/A kts N/A hPa
Consensus Members
N/A (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
02Sep2026 0000UTC 55 kts 147 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
4.0% 27.1% 16.5% 10.0% 7.0% 12.9% 6.4% 3.8%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
01Sep2026 2350UTC 15.28N 109.88W
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GOES18 SWIR 0.20 deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model
Prob. ERC onset
V-based
N/A N/AUTC N/A N/A
 
MIMIC-TPW  
MIMIC-TC  
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
Shear Direction
02Sep2026 000UTC 4 kts 209 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs