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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 15E (Fifteen)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
14Sep2026 0810UTC 31 kts 1006 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.2 14.99C 7.18C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
14Sep2026 0810UTC 30 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
14Sep2026 0810UTC 28 kts 1005 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
25 kts 31 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
14Sep2026 0323UTC 32 kts 1004 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
29 kts 35 kts SSMISF16  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
14Sep2026 0323UTC 34 kts 1004 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  16 7  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
14Sep2026 0510UTC 33 kts 1005 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
14Sep2026 0600UTC 30 kts 135 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
1.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 1.9% 2.2% 5.4%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
14Sep2026 0550UTC 17.63N 119.06W
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GOES18 IR 0.90 deg 0.3%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
N/A N/AUTC N/A N/A
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
14Sep2026 600UTC 14 kts 281 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs