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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 15E (Nolo)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 2000UTC 77 kts 974 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
EMBC 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.8 -50.01C -64.41C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
06Oct2026 2000UTC 89 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 2000UTC 84 kts 976 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
78 kts 90 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 1823UTC 79 kts 980 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
73 kts 85 kts GMI  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0615UTC 105 kts 966 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  17 30  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0800UTC 100 kts 960 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
04Oct2026 1800UTC 100 kts 121 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
06Oct2026 1821UTC 25.33N 166.29E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GMI 89-92GHz 0.40 deg 56.8%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
06Oct2026 1800UTC 2% 6%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
06Oct2026 1800UTC 25 kts 40 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs