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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 15P
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
05Feb2025 1100UTC 31 kts 1003 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
CRVBND 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 18.92C 14.54C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
05Feb2025 1100UTC 32 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
05Feb2025 1100UTC 30 kts 996 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
26 kts 34 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2025 1852UTC 33 kts 996 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
29 kts 37 kts SSMISF17  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2025 1947UTC 48 kts 994 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-15 5  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
05Feb2025 1100UTC 38 kts 1000 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
05Feb2025 0600UTC 35 kts 9999 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
05Feb2025 0942UTC -20.74S 175.25E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
Metop-C ASCAT --- deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
04Feb2025 1800UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
05Feb2025 600UTC 42 kts 240 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs