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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 15W
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
22Sep2024 1100UTC 25 kts 998 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 20.63C 16.40C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
22Sep2024 1100UTC 36 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
22Sep2024 1100UTC 28 kts NaN hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
25 kts 31 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
21Sep2024 2146UTC 37 kts NaN hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
32 kts 44 kts SSMISF17  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
19Sep2024 1757UTC 41 kts 996 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  ATMS 7  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
21Sep2024 0430UTC 36 kts 996 hPa
Consensus Members
3 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
N/A N/AUTC N/A kts N/A kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
N/A% N/A% N/A% N/A% N/A% N/A% N/A% N/A%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
22Sep2024 0402UTC 37.32N 139.10E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
AMSR2 85-92GHz 2.60 deg 0.6%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
22Sep2024 0400UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
22Sep2024 600UTC 58 kts 253 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs