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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 15W (Fifteen)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0540UTC 25 kts 997 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 19.32C 5.84C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
11Aug2026 0540UTC 28 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0540UTC 27 kts 996 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
24 kts 30 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0303UTC 28 kts 997 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
26 kts 30 kts ATMS-N20  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0221UTC 26 kts 997 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
24 kts 29 kts AMSR2  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0208UTC 27 kts 997 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
25 kts 29 kts ATMS-N21  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0050UTC 26 kts 997 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
24 kts 28 kts GMI  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0301UTC 33 kts 1000 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-20 90  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
11Aug2026 0510UTC 32 kts 999 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
11Aug2026 0000UTC 25 kts 135 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
11Aug2026 0534UTC ---N --E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
SSMIS-18 89-92GHz 0.30 deg 0.6%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
11Aug2026 0500UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
11Aug2026 000UTC 23 kts 269 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs