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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 16W (16w)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1110UTC 25 kts 999 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 19.03C 9.98C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
15Aug2026 1110UTC 26 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 1110UTC 26 kts 1000 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
24 kts 29 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 0654UTC 26 kts 1000 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
25 kts 28 kts SSMISF17  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
14Aug2026 2124UTC 31 kts 997 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  16 42  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
15Aug2026 0230UTC 33 kts 997 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
15Aug2026 0600UTC 20 kts 145 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
15Aug2026 0843UTC 28.37N 157.62E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
SSMIS-16 89-92GHz 4.00 deg 1.5%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
15Aug2026 0800UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
15Aug2026 600UTC 22 kts 274 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs