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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 18E (Rachel)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0450UTC 94 kts 960 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
EYEL 5.2 4.8 4.6 4.6 11.79C -51.34C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
06Oct2026 0450UTC 77 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0420UTC 77 kts 971 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
72 kts 83 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0323UTC 87 kts 972 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
82 kts 92 kts SSMISF16  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0149UTC 83 kts 973 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
78 kts 88 kts WSFM1  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0108UTC 80 kts 970 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
75 kts 85 kts SSMISF17  
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0017UTC 79 kts 978 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
74 kts 85 kts TMS09  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
05Oct2026 2106UTC 80 kts 959 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-20 49  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
05Oct2026 2150UTC 79 kts 959 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
06Oct2026 0000UTC 80 kts 86 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
06Oct2026 0250UTC 20.28N 117.93W
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GOES18 SWIR 0.80 deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
06Oct2026 0300UTC 2% 9%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
06Oct2026 000UTC 17 kts 74 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs