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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 21E (Trudy)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
16Oct2026 0540UTC 65 kts 985 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
UNIFRM 4.0 3.3 3.2 3.0 -41.38C -52.87C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
16Oct2026 0540UTC 64 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
16Oct2026 0540UTC 68 kts 983 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
62 kts 75 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
16Oct2026 0222UTC 76 kts 986 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
70 kts 83 kts MHS  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
16Oct2026 0023UTC 80 kts 969 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  17 39  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
16Oct2026 0240UTC 75 kts 978 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
16Oct2026 0000UTC 85 kts 122 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
21.2% 39.1% 27.7% 36.5% 15.1% 36.4% 3.3% 2.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
16Oct2026 0550UTC 13.94N 102.51W
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GOES18 SWIR 0.20 deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
16Oct2026 0000UTC 10% 5%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
16Oct2026 000UTC 12 kts 224 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs