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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 27W (Koguma)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 1320UTC 53 kts 997 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
UNIFRM 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.7 -74.52C -74.74C
AiDT-V2
Date Time Vmax  
06Oct2026 1320UTC 45 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 1320UTC 42 kts 995 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
36 kts 47 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 1045UTC 62 kts 991 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
56 kts 68 kts AWS  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0209UTC 38 kts 995 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-20 36  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Oct2026 0340UTC 43 kts 997 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
05Oct2026 1800UTC 40 kts 155 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
3.6% 17.0% 13.6% 7.3% 5.4% 9.3% 7.1% 37.9%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
06Oct2026 1130UTC 14.13N 165.21E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
HIMAWARI9 SWIR 0.10 deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
N/A N/AUTC N/A N/A
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
06Oct2026 1200UTC 13 kts 77 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs