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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 02W (02w)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
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NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
07Feb2026 0900UTC 31 kts 1008 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 2.1 2.1 2.3 3.3 13.87C -21.45C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
07Feb2026 0900UTC 31 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
07Feb2026 0900UTC 25 kts 1004 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
22 kts 28 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
07Feb2026 0540UTC 25 kts 1004 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
22 kts 28 kts AMSR2  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Feb2026 1748UTC 40 kts 1003 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-21 14  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
06Feb2026 1830UTC 40 kts 1005 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
07Feb2026 0600UTC 15 kts 9999 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
07Feb2026 0540UTC 11.36N 121.58E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
AMSR2 85-92GHz 1.20 deg 17.7%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model
Prob. ERC onset
V-based
07Feb2026 0500UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW  
MIMIC-TC  
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
Shear Direction
07Feb2026 600UTC 27 kts 134 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs