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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 04S (Chenge)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
26Oct2025 0430UTC 25 kts 1012 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 18.11C 12.30C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
26Oct2025 0430UTC 30 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
26Oct2025 0500UTC 28 kts 1004 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
26 kts 31 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
26Oct2025 0033UTC 32 kts 1004 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
29 kts 35 kts SSMISF18  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
25Oct2025 2205UTC 35 kts 1002 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-21 39  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
25Oct2025 2330UTC 36 kts 1007 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
25Oct2025 1800UTC 30 kts 9999 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
25Oct2025 1838UTC -8.34S 50.12E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
GMI 37GHz 3.00 deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
26Oct2025 0000UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
26Oct2025 000UTC 23 kts 78 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs