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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 16P (Sixteen)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :    
NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
23Jan2026 1140UTC 31 kts 997 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 2.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 19.13C 13.30C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
23Jan2026 1140UTC 35 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
23Jan2026 1140UTC 27 kts 997 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
25 kts 29 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
23Jan2026 0151UTC 25 kts 1000 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
24 kts 28 kts ATMS-N20  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
23Jan2026 0151UTC 41 kts 997 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-20 45  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
23Jan2026 0300UTC 41 kts 996 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
23Jan2026 0600UTC 35 kts 9999 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
21Jan2026 2112UTC -23.13S 165.61E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
Metop-A ASCAT --- deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model
Prob. ERC onset
V-based
22Jan2026 2100UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW  
MIMIC-TC  
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
Shear Direction
N/A N/AUTC seastpac kts wg10s deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs