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Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclone 19S (Fytia)
Latest Real-Time CIMSS Product Summary
Current Time :     		NHC/JTWC
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Product Latency Color Code : Less than 3 hours old   3 - 6 hours old   6 - 12 hours old   Greater than 12 hours old   Not Available
Current Intensity Estimates ADT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2026 1630UTC 25 kts 1005 hPa
Scene CI# FT# AdjT# RawT# Eye T Cloud T
SHEAR 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 19.02C 12.23C
AiDT
Date Time Vmax  
04Feb2026 1630UTC 36 kts  
 
DPRINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2026 1700UTC 29 kts 998 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75%    
26 kts 32 kts    
DMINT
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2026 1431UTC 22 kts 997 hPa
Vmax 25% Vmax 75% MW Instr.  
20 kts 24 kts WSFM01  
MW Sounders
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2026 0955UTC 39 kts 997 hPa
  Satellite FOV  
  NOAA-20 40  
SATCON
Date Time Vmax MSLP
04Feb2026 1200UTC 35 kts 1001 hPa
Consensus Members
2 (ADT+Sounders)

RI Forecast AI-RI
Date Time Current Vmax Current MPI
04Feb2026 1200UTC 25 kts 9999 kts
20kt/12h 25kt/24h 30kt/24h 35kt/24h 40kt/24h 45kt/36h 55kt/48h 65kt/72h
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Position Estimates ARCHER
Date Time Latitude Longitude
04Feb2026 0509UTC -23.40S 54.77E
Satellite Sensor Eye Diameter Eye Cert %
Metop-C ASCAT --- deg ---%

TC Structure MPERC
Date Time Prob. ERC onset
Full Model		 Prob. ERC onset
V-based
04Feb2026 0300UTC 0% 0%
 
MIMIC-TPW
 
MIMIC-TC
 
Shear Analysis
Date Time Shear Magnitude
 Shear Direction
04Feb2026 1200UTC 33 kts 295 deg
Deep-layer vertical wind shear interpolated to storm center derived from the CIMSS AMV-aided analyses with vortex removed
TC-Scale AMVs