Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies / University of Wisconsin-Madison
Tropical Cyclones
AI Rapid Intensification Index   (Reference)

Go to: Atlantic TCs
Go to: East Pacific TCs
Go to: West Pacific TCs
Go to: Southern Hemisphere TCs

Atlantic TCs:  Sara

Sara at 11/15/24 00 UTC. Intensity = 35 kts, MPI = 154 kts    

 

Sara History

AI-RI Matrix of RI probabilities SHIPS Matrix of RI probabilities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/48 65/72 RI (kt / h) 20/12 25/24 30/24 35/24 40/24 45/36 55/48 65/72
AI-RI 18.1% 58.3% 37.3% 41.9% 7.7% 28.0% 35.6% 43.9% SHIPS Consensus 10.4% 54.1% 31.8% 20.5% 12.5% 27.4% 28.8% 58.8%
AI-RI in SHIPS Consensus 12.3% 55.1% 33.1% 25.8% 11.2% 27.5% 30.4% 55.1% SHIPS-RII 6.1% 48.4% 32.4% 17.7% 7.4% 27.9% 30.6% 54.9%
AI-RI and DTOPS 10.5% 33.1% 20.1% 21.9% 4.3% 15.0% 18.3% 21.9% Logistic Regression 20.5% 67.3% 46.8% 35.5% 25.4% 42.4% 43.2% 76.0%
Bayesian 4.7% 46.7% 16.0% 8.2% 4.6% 12.0% 12.5% 45.6%
DTOPS 3.0% 8.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
current Sara intensity image current Sara intensity image
current Sara IR image

Eastern Pacific TCs:

Western Pacific TCs:

Southern Hemisphere TCs:

Last Updated: 20241115 at 0210 UTC

Past 2024 Atlantic TCs
Alberto
Beryl
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Debby
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Francine
Gordon
Eight
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Milton
Nadine
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Rafael


Past 2024 E Pacific TCs
Hone
Aletta
Bud
Carlotta
Daniel
Emilia
Fabio
Gilma
Hector
Ileana
John
Eleven
Kristy
Lane
Fourteen


Past 2024 W Pacific TCs
wp012024
wp022024
wp042024
wp052024
wp062024
wp072024
wp082024
wp092024
wp102024
wp112024
wp122024
wp132024
wp142024
wp212024
wp232024
wp242024
wp252024
wp262024
wp272024


Past Southern Hemisphere TCs
sh012024
sh022024
sh022025
sh032024
sh042024
sh052024
sh062024
sh072024
sh082024
sh092024
sh102024
sh112024
sh122024
sh132024
sh142024
sh162024
sh172024
sh182024
sh192024
sh202024
sh212024
sh222024
sh232024
sh242024
sh252024
sh952025